Definitivamente las elecciones a la Presidencia de la República Francesa, se las van a disputar el Próximo día 6 de Mayo, el candidato socialista, François Hollande, y el actual presidente, Nicolas Sarkozy. Sino cambia el muy mucho el sentido del voto, el vencedor será el candidato socialista. Hay que resaltar el excelente resulta de la derecha francesa, Marine Le Pen, superando el listón que nunca pudo su padre del 20% de los votos.
La rácana victoria de François Hollande, sea cual sea el resultado del día 6 de Mayo pronostican un Gobierno débil. Si a la precaria situación económica por la que atraviesa Francia le unimos un Gobierno fragmentado y sin poder decisorio. Para que mi que la Merkel se va a quedar sola y Francia se tendrá que alinear con Irlanda, Grecia, Portugal, Italia y la ya hundida España.
El presidente, Sarkosy, obtendría un 27% y Hollande el 28% de los votos, según las primeras proyecciones oficiales divulgadas por el Ministerio del Interior galo, con un 70% de los votos escrutados. Una encuesta de Ipsos estima una abstención del 19,7 por ciento.
Marine Le Pen, no obstante, se ha convertido en la otra gran protagonista de los comicios. Con un 20.3 por ciento de los votos según estas cifras iniciales, la hija de Jean Marie Le Pen supera el mejor resultado obtenido por su padre (16,8% en 2002) y sale vencedora de la batalla de los extremos que libraba con el líder del Frente de Izquierda, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, que se ha hecho con un 10,4% de los votos.
La alternativa centrista que representa François Bayrou no ha podido repetir su éxito de 2007 al recabar hoy un 9,2 por ciento de los votos, debido a la polarización que ha dominado las elecciones francesas de este año. También se ha resentido la opción "verde" de Eva Joly, la sexta fuerza más votada con un 2% de los votos.
En este escenario, la ventaja a favor de Hollande se acentuará con toda probabilidad en la segunda vuelta, cuando comience a recabar los votos de los candidatos que se quedaron por el camino.
El candidato socialista contaría con el respaldo de un 80 por ciento de los votantes del izquierdista Mélenchon y un 33 por ciento de los afines a Bayrou, el líder del Movimiento Democrático. Sarkozy conseguiría el voto de un 45 por ciento de los simpatizantes de Le Pen, más un 32 por ciento de los votantes del centrista Bayrou.
Sinos atenemos a la teoría Lefret que en Francia es infalible, François Hollande se alzaría con el triunfo final. Con los números en la mano, el líder socialista obtendría una ventaja de siete u ocho puntos por delante de Sarkozy (53% por un 46%).
RECHAZO A SARKOZY
A Sarkosy, en estas elecciones, le han sobrado dos mujeres; Carla Bruni y Ángela Merkel. Igual una por guapa y otra por menos guapa. De cualquier forma estos comicios han destrozado políticamente a Sarkosy, al menos esa es la tónica dominante dela militancia, aunque ya se sabe que estos carroñeros solo saben hacer leña del árbol caído.
Parece ser que el rechazo es generalizado dentro del partido y que está encabezado por el ExPresidente Jacques Chirac y otras como la exministra de Planificación Fadela Amara se ha unido a la creciente lista de antiguos colaboradores políticos de Sarkozy que han anunciado su intención de votar a Hollande, quien se perfila como el primer presidente socialista de Francia desde el fin del mandato de François Mitterrand, en 1995.
Amara, una de las figuras del centro-izquierda reclutadas por Sarkozy para formar su primer gobierno tras su elección en 2007, se ha unido a la exministra de Medio Ambiente y militante ecologista Corinne Lepage en su decisión de apoyar expresamente a Hollande. Ambas han acusado a Sarkozy de haberse escorado demasiado a la derecha.
Otros antiguos dirigentes próximos a Sarkozy o de la derecha que han anunciado su apoyo a Hollande --entre ellos, el expresidente Jacques Chirac-- son el antiguo alto comisario para la Pobreza Martin Hirsch, el exminstro de Estado sobre Igualdad de Oportunidades Azouz Begag y el que fuera ministro de Cultura Jean-Jacques Aillagon
ADE (News Agency of Europe)Definitely Presidendica elections to the French Republic, they are going to play, the Next Day on May 6, the Socialist candidate, François Hollande, and the current president, Nicolas Sarkozy. But changes very much the manner of voting, the winner will be the Socialist candidate. It should be noted the excellent results of the French right, Marine Le Pen, to raise the bar that his father could never 20% of the vote.
The victory of François Hollande Racana, whatever the outcome of the day May 6 predict a weak government. If the precarious economic situation facing the country will join a government Galo fragmented and no decision power. For me that Merkel is going to stay single and France will have to align with Ireland, Greece, Portugal, Italy and Spain already sagging.
The president, Sarkozy, would get 27% of the vote (28% of Hollande), according to preliminary official projections released by the Ministry of Interior Gaul, 45% of the votes counted. An Ipsos survey estimated an abstention rate of 19.7 percent.
Marine Le Pen, however, has become another major player in the elections. With 20.3 percent of the vote according to initial figures, the daughter of Jean Marie Le Pen than the best result obtained by his father (16.8% in 2002) and winner of the battle out of the ends being waged with the leader Left Front, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, which has been made with 10.4% of the vote.
The centrist Francois Bayrou represented, have also fallen far short of repeating their success of 2007 to receive today by 9.2 percent of the vote, due to the polarization that has dominated the French elections this year. Has also felt the "green" Eva Joly, the sixth most voted with 2% of the vote.
In this scenario, the advantage for Hollande probably be accentuated in the second round, when you begin to collect the votes of the candidates fell by the wayside.
The socialist candidate would have the backing of 80 percent of the voters of leftist Mélenchon and 33 percent of those related to Bayrou, leader of Democratic Movement. Sarkozy would get the vote of 45 percent of supporters of Le Pen, over 32 percent of the voters of the centrist Bayrou.
Sinos Lefret stick to the theory that France is infallible, François Hollande would rise to the final triumph. With numbers in hand, the socialist leader would get a seven or eight points ahead of Sarkozy (53% to 46%).REJECTION OF SARKOZY
A Sarkozy, in this election, have left two women, Carla Bruni and Angela Merkel. Just one by one for less pretty and beautiful. Either way this election has destroyed politically Sarkozy, at least that is the dominant dela militancy, although we know that these scavengers only know how to beat a dead horse.
It appears that the rejection is widespread within the party and is led by Former President Jacques Chirac and others such as former minister Fadela Amara Planning has joined the growing list of former political associates Sarkozy have announced their intention to vote in Hollande , who has emerged as the first socialist president of France since the end of the mandate of François Mitterrand in 1995.
Amara, one of the center-left figures Sarkozy recruited to form its first government after his election in 2007, has joined the former Minister of Environment and environmental activist Corinne Lepage in his decision to support expressly Hollande. Both have accused Sarkozy of having heeled too far right.
Other former officials close to Sarkozy or the right who have announced their support Hollande - including former President Jacques Chirac - are the former High Commissioner for Poverty Martin Hirsch, the State exminstro Equal Opportunities Azouz Begag and who was Minister of Culture Jean-Jacques Aillagon.ADE (News Agency of Europe.)-Provides you with this news, for insertion esu newspaper, totally free.
The victory of François Hollande Racana, whatever the outcome of the day May 6 predict a weak government. If the precarious economic situation facing the country will join a government Galo fragmented and no decision power. For me that Merkel is going to stay single and France will have to align with Ireland, Greece, Portugal, Italy and Spain already sagging.
The president, Sarkozy, would get 27% of the vote (28% of Hollande), according to preliminary official projections released by the Ministry of Interior Gaul, 45% of the votes counted. An Ipsos survey estimated an abstention rate of 19.7 percent.
Marine Le Pen, however, has become another major player in the elections. With 20.3 percent of the vote according to initial figures, the daughter of Jean Marie Le Pen than the best result obtained by his father (16.8% in 2002) and winner of the battle out of the ends being waged with the leader Left Front, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, which has been made with 10.4% of the vote.
The centrist Francois Bayrou represented, have also fallen far short of repeating their success of 2007 to receive today by 9.2 percent of the vote, due to the polarization that has dominated the French elections this year. Has also felt the "green" Eva Joly, the sixth most voted with 2% of the vote.
In this scenario, the advantage for Hollande probably be accentuated in the second round, when you begin to collect the votes of the candidates fell by the wayside.
The socialist candidate would have the backing of 80 percent of the voters of leftist Mélenchon and 33 percent of those related to Bayrou, leader of Democratic Movement. Sarkozy would get the vote of 45 percent of supporters of Le Pen, over 32 percent of the voters of the centrist Bayrou.
Sinos Lefret stick to the theory that France is infallible, François Hollande would rise to the final triumph. With numbers in hand, the socialist leader would get a seven or eight points ahead of Sarkozy (53% to 46%).REJECTION OF SARKOZY
A Sarkozy, in this election, have left two women, Carla Bruni and Angela Merkel. Just one by one for less pretty and beautiful. Either way this election has destroyed politically Sarkozy, at least that is the dominant dela militancy, although we know that these scavengers only know how to beat a dead horse.
It appears that the rejection is widespread within the party and is led by Former President Jacques Chirac and others such as former minister Fadela Amara Planning has joined the growing list of former political associates Sarkozy have announced their intention to vote in Hollande , who has emerged as the first socialist president of France since the end of the mandate of François Mitterrand in 1995.
Amara, one of the center-left figures Sarkozy recruited to form its first government after his election in 2007, has joined the former Minister of Environment and environmental activist Corinne Lepage in his decision to support expressly Hollande. Both have accused Sarkozy of having heeled too far right.
Other former officials close to Sarkozy or the right who have announced their support Hollande - including former President Jacques Chirac - are the former High Commissioner for Poverty Martin Hirsch, the State exminstro Equal Opportunities Azouz Begag and who was Minister of Culture Jean-Jacques Aillagon.ADE (News Agency of Europe.)-Provides you with this news, for insertion esu newspaper, totally free.
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